Overall Against the Spread: 97-88
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
Week 9: 3-10
Week 10: 7-6
Week 11: 11-2
Week 12: 8-7
Week 13: 9-5
Week 14: 12-4
NFL Picks – Week 15 of 2018
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NFL Picks – Week 14 of 2018
Overall Against the Spread: 85-84
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
Week 9: 3-10
Week 10: 7-6
Week 11: 11-2
Week 12: 8-7
Week 13: 9-5
NFL Picks – Week 13 of 2018
Overall Against the Spread: 76-79
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
Week 9: 3-10
Week 10: 7-6
Week 11: 11-2
Week 12: 8-7
NFL Picks – Week 12 of 2018
Titans-Texans line is not out yet.
Overall Against the Spread: 68-72
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
Week 9: 3-10
Week 10: 7-6
Week 11: 11-2
NFL Picks – Week 11 of 2018
Bengals Ravens line is not out yet.
Overall Against the Spread: 57-70
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
Week 9: 3-10
Week 10: 7-6
Book Review – The Undoing Project
The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds
by Michael Lewis, 2016
Prospect Theory, along with Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman’s other work on behavioral biases and heuristics, has significantly influenced modern thinking on human behavior. This book by Michael Lewis peals back the curtain to tell of the setting in which their work was created. You learn the story of Amos’ and Daniel’s past, as well as understanding the academic conversation that their work altered/overturned. I was already very familiar with their work (see review of Thinking, Fast and Slow, here), so this book didn’t add much to my academic understanding, but it did humanize scientific theory development a bit.
While the discussion of Kahneman and Tversky’s personal relationship and eventual difficulties may have been accurate, it was just sad to read. And I worry that Lewis may have been reading too much into it at points. With that qualification, I enjoyed the book. There are even ample basketball references to tide over the sports fan in me. I listened on CD.
NFL Picks – Week 10 of 2018
Gambler’s fallacy: I’m due this week?
Overall Against the Spread: 50-64
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
Week 9: 3-10
NFL Picks – Week 9 of 2018
Overall Against the Spread: 47-54
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Week 8: 5-8
NFL Picks – Week 8 of 2018
Bad week last week. 49ers/Cardinals line is not out yet.
Overall Against the Spread: 42-46
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 3-10
Book Review – Smarter Faster Better
Smarter Faster Better: The Secrets of Being Productive in Life and Business
by Charles Duhigg, 2016
Wide-ranging book on productivity that covers examples from many disparate fields. Some of the main ideas include creating the environment for good teamwork (everyone valued and talking), being flexible and AGILE, pushing decision to those closest to the matter at hand, and preparing good mental models. The examples are interesting, but make it hard to keep track of the list of takeaways. I would love a checklist of the main topics covered, especially because I listened to the book on tape and wasn’t taking notes while listening.