My model has a tendency to pick underdogs when the spread is high. This wasn’t a good week for that. Ouch.
All of these are as measured by points scored/allowed:
Top 4 offenses to this point: Eagles, Saints, Rams, Patriots
Top 4 defenses to this point: Jaguars, Vikings, Ravens, Chargers/Eagles/Steelers
Worst 4 offenses to this point: Browns, Giants, Dolphins, Bears
Worst 4 defenses to this point: Colts, Browns, Dolphins/Texans
Overall Against the Spread: 76-78
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 8-6
Week 4: 7-9
Week 5: 7-6
Week 6: 8-5
Week 7: 10-4
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 9-4
Week 10: 5-9
Week 11: 4-9
Week 12: 3-12