Overall Against the Spread: 87-109
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6
Week 11: 7-4 (1 game not bet, 2 pushes)
Week 12: 5-10 (1 push)
Week 13: 4-11
Week 14: 8-8
Week 15: 5-9 (1 game not bet, 1 push)

Overall Against the Spread: 82-100
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6
Week 11: 7-4 (1 game not bet, 2 pushes)
Week 12: 5-10 (1 push)
Week 13: 4-11
Week 14: 8-8

Mama said there’d be years like this, but man oh man… It ain’t workin this year.

Overall Against the Spread: 74-92
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6
Week 11: 7-4 (1 game not bet, 2 pushes)
Week 12: 5-10 (1 push)
Week 13: 4-11

Overall Against the Spread: 70-81
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6
Week 11: 7-4 (1 game not bet, 2 pushes)
Week 12: 5-10 (1 push)

New output format this week, showing each team’s offense and defense coefficients. Negative spreads mean the home team is favored. Remember that there is a 3 point home field advantage.

Overall Against the Spread: 65-71
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6
Week 11: 7-4 (1 game not bet, 2 pushes)

Overall Against the Spread: 58-67
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6

Here are my week 11 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-3.0): Predicting 25.6-27.9. Bet on the New Orleans Saints.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3.0): Predicting 25.6-27.6. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (even): Predicting 17.8-20.6. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
Chicago Bears at New York Giants (-7.0): Predicting 16.8-23.8. Line is correct; do not bet.
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.0): Predicting 23.8-23.9. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys (-7.0): Predicting 17.8-24.9. Bet on the Dallas Cowboys.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (+7.5): Predicting 25.8-22.3. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions (-6.5): Predicting 19.6-26.3. Bet on the Detroit Lions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.0): Predicting 19.2-25.6. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams (+1.5): Predicting 19.3-20.6. Bet on the Los Angeles Rams.
New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers (+13.0): Predicting 27.5-21.4. Bet on the San Francisco 49ers.
Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5): Predicting 19.6-21.2. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins (-2.5): Predicting 22.4-26.7. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders (-6.0): Predicting 19.5-25.6. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.

Overall Against the Spread: 50-61
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)

Here are my week 9 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-8.0): Predicting 18.1-26.0. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints (-2.5): Predicting 23.8-24.9. Bet on the Denver Broncos.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.0): Predicting 20.7-21.9. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (-3.0): Predicting 20.1-21.8. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (even): Predicting 24.7-28.3. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans (+2.5): Predicting 23.5-25.1. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.0): Predicting 21.0-23.7. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers (-3.0): Predicting 22.2-23.2. Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets (-2.0): Predicting 19.9-22.3. Bet on the New York Jets.
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-4.0): Predicting 22.3-27.9. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5): Predicting 22.9-22.5. Bet on the Dallas Cowboys.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-13.5): Predicting 18.2-28.4. Bet on the San Francisco 49ers.
Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots (-7.5): Predicting 16.9-23.4. Bet on the Seattle Seahawks.
Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants (-2.5): Predicting 19.6-23.9. Bet on the New York Giants.

Overall Against the Spread: 45-55
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7

Here are my week 9 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5): Predicting 27.6-26.3. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.0): Predicting 17.5-26.7. Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-6.0): Predicting 17.8-23.8. Line is correct; do not bet.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-3.0): Predicting 21.4-20.2. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3.5): Predicting 19.9-25.2. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.
Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns (+7.0): Predicting 26.4-21.6. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5): Predicting 20.9-21.6. Bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Rams (+3.0): Predicting 22.9-24.2. Bet on the Los Angeles Rams.
New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers (+3.0): Predicting 28.1-26.6. Bet on the San Francisco 49ers.
Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers (-7.0): Predicting 22.8-28.3. Bet on the Indianapolis Colts.
Tennessee Titans at San Diego Chargers (-5.0): Predicting 21.9-27.4. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (even): Predicting 21.8-22.7. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.
Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5): Predicting 19.9-21.6. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.

It’s good that I got my picks up late last week and you didn’t have time to follow them, because they didn’t pan out very well.

Overall Against the Spread: 39-48
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)

Here are my week 8 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5): Predicting 19.5-24.7. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
Washington Redskins at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.0): Predicting 21.4-23.4. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Oakland Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5): Predicting 23.6-24.5. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.
Detroit Lions at Houston Texans (-2.5): Predicting 21.7-22.7. Bet on the Detroit Lions.
Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (+2.5): Predicting 23.6-25.3. Bet on the Indianapolis Colts.
New York Jets at Cleveland Browns (+3.5): Predicting 22.3-24.4. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (-2.5): Predicting 23.6-28.4. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+6.5): Predicting 20.7-23.0. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints (+3.0): Predicting 22.6-23.0. Bet on the New Orleans Saints.
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-5.0): Predicting 20.6-24.9. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (-2.5): Predicting 23.4-22.8. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5): Predicting 20.7-22.3. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+4.5): Predicting 21.1-17.3. Bet on the Chicago Bears.

Slow to get the picks up this week due to vacation. Putting them up after the Thursday night game but before the Sunday games.

Overall Against the Spread: 36-37
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)

Here are my week 7 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5): Predicting 18.4-24.7. Bet on the Chicago Bears.
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams (+2.5): Predicting 19.6-21.8. Bet on the Los Angeles Rams.
Oakland Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.0): Predicting 23.3-24.3. Line is correct; do not bet.
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-10.5): Predicting 20.8-25.8. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs (-5.0): Predicting 22.9-27.7. Bet on the New Orleans Saints.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (+3.0): Predicting 23.5-20.7. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3.0): Predicting 22.4-26.0. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
Baltimore Ravens at New York Jets (-2.0): Predicting 21.3-20.1. Bet on the Baltimore Ravens.
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions (-1.0): Predicting 23.4-25.8. Bet on the Detroit Lions.
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3.0): Predicting 18.3-21.7. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers (-1.5): Predicting 23.4-25.8. Bet on the San Francisco 49ers.
San Diego Chargers at Atlanta Falcons (-4.5): Predicting 25.5-30.3. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (+7.0): Predicting 21.3-22.4. Bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-1.0): Predicting 17.6-22.3. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals.
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos (-9.0): Predicting 16.2-23.2. Bet on the Houston Texans.