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Book Review- Washington’s Secret Six

Washington’s Secret Six
by Brian Kilmeade and Don Yaeger, 2014

George-Washington-Secret-Six

George Washington was a spy in the French and Indian War. Therefore, I’m pretty sure he told a lie or two in his day.

This book centers on a spy ring Washington set up in New York City during the Revolutionary War. NYC was taken by the British pretty early in the war and held throughout. The spy ring provided (somewhat) timely information to the general about British activities in the city. They helped thwart a plot to print and devalue patriot currency, helped keep Benedict Arnold from turning over West Point to the British, and provided opportunities for small fort captures and supply seizures on the outskirts of the city.

It was an interesting book about an area I did not know about in the Revolutionary War. Washington did not really outfight the British, he simply outspied them. The tradecraft used by the spy ring (dead drops, invisible ink, codes, 100% secrecy) are taught as a case study to new CIA agents nowadays.

I listened to this book on CD. I believe the first author was also the reader. I wish they had gotten a professional reader; the book was read too forcefully and loudly.

NFL Picks- Week 15 of 2014

Overall: 45-39
Week 14: 6-9
Week 13: 10-6
Week 12: 8-6
Week 11: 9-5
Week 10: 6-7
Week 9: 6-6

2-1 in games highlighted last week. 9-9 overall.

Here are my week 15 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:

Arizona Cardinals at St Louis Rams (-4.5): Predicting 19.6-21.6. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons (+1.0): Predicting 26.3-27.0. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (-14.5): Predicting 14.9-28.8. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills (+4.5): Predicting 24.4-24.3. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-3.0): Predicting 19.7-25.0. Bet on the Carolina Panthers.
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (-1.0): Predicting 18.9-22.3. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-9.5): Predicting 16.3-21.8. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-7.5): Predicting 22.2-27.5. Bet on the Houston Texans.
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-11.5): Predicting 15.1-26.7. Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-9.0): Predicting 20.7-27.4. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.
Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-7.0): Predicting 20.1-26.7. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+4.0): Predicting 25.1-24.3. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (+1.0): Predicting 21.3-22.9. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5): Predicting 15.5-23.8. Bet on the San Francisco 49ers.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.0): Predicting 23.6-28.9. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (+2.5): Predicting 26.2-26.7. Bet on the Chicago Bears.

Each week I’ll show all the predictions, as above, and I’ll pick three games that I feel most confident about, as I look at my model and think about what I’ve seen watching football. Here are the 3 teams I would actually bet on ATS (against the spread):
Panthers, Vikings, Dolphins

NFL Picks- Week 14 of 2014

Overall: 39-30
Week 13: 10-6
Week 12: 8-6
Week 11: 9-5
Week 10: 6-7
Week 9: 6-6

1-2 in games highlighted last week. 7-8 overall.

Here are my week 14 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears (+3.5): Predicting 24.9-24.1. Bet on the Chicago Bears.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.0): Predicting 21.8-24.8. Line is correct; do not bet.
Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns (+3.5): Predicting 24.8-23.1. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-10.5): Predicting 14.9-23.9. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5): Predicting 23.5-18.8. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-2.5): Predicting 21.3-24.6. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.
New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings (-7.0): Predicting 16.3-23.8. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-11.0): Predicting 21.3-29.2. Bet on the Carolina Panthers.
New York Giants at Tennessee Titans (even): Predicting 23.4-23.9. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
St Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+2.5): Predicting 23.8-23.4. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals (even): Predicting 19.1-20.8. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals.
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos (-10.0): Predicting 21.3-26.6. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders (+9.5): Predicting 21.7-18.3. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (even): Predicting 23.0-26.2. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5): Predicting 26.0-23.5. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-13.0): Predicting 21.5-31.2. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.

Each week I’ll show all the predictions, as above, and I’ll pick three games that I feel most confident about, as I look at my model and think about what I’ve seen watching football. Here are the 3 teams I would actually bet on ATS (against the spread):
Buccaneers, Cardinals, Bills

NFL Picks- Week 13 of 2014

Overall: 29-24
Week 12: 8-6
Week 11: 9-5
Week 10: 6-7
Week 9: 6-6

1-2 in games highlighted last week. 6-6 overall.

Here are my week 13 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-7.0): Predicting 17.0-23.7. Bet on the Chicago Bears.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-3.0): Predicting 26.0-27.9. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-1.5): Predicting 20.7-20.9. Bet on the Seattle Seahawks.
San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-7.0): Predicting 18.7-25.0. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills (-2.5): Predicting 18.1-22.7. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-7.0): Predicting 17.0-25.5. Bet on the Houston Texans.
Washington Redskins at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5): Predicting 19.5-29.6. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5): Predicting 22.5-21.7. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5): Predicting 18.2-23.7. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5): Predicting 24.4-28.4. Bet on the New Orleans Saints.
Oakland Raiders at St Louis Rams (-7.0): Predicting 19.4-24.1. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.
Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5): Predicting 23.3-20.5. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (+2.5): Predicting 22.6-21.7. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers (-3.0): Predicting 27.2-28.7. Bet on the New England Patriots.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (even): Predicting 22.9-25.6. Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (+7.0): Predicting 25.9-18.7. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.

Each week I’ll show all the predictions, as above, and I’ll pick three games that I feel most confident about, as I look at my model and think about what I’ve seen watching football. Here are the 3 teams I would actually bet on ATS (against the spread):
Bears, Saints, Dolphins

Book Review: America, 1908

America, 1908: The Dawn of Flight, the Race to the Pole, the Invention of the Model T, and the Making of a Modern Nation
by Jim Rasenberger, 2011

america1908

A visit back to the year 1908 provides snapshots of the innovation and excitement that was present a century ago. I found the bits about the Wright brothers and the Great White Fleet most fascinating. For the Wright brothers, it tells how they worked both in the US and France to showcase their flying machine to both best their rivals and to secure funding/payment for purchases. For the Great White Fleet, it tells about how and why Teddy Roosevelt sent the US navy around the world and the reception in other countries. I also liked the description of Merkle’s Boner in the Giants’ pennant race.

I could do without the details of pop culture and interesting murder cases from 1908. I also thought the book focused too much upon New York City. And the book was overly long-winded at times, occasionally putting me to sleep when I wasn’t driving (I listened to the book on tape). Overall, a mixed review. Would be interesting if you’re into early 1900’s history.

NFL Picks- Week 12 of 2014

Predictions from Week 11

Week 11: 9-5
Week 10: 6-7
Week 9: 6-6

2-1 in games highlighted last week. 5-4 overall.

Here are my week 11 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+8.0): Predicting 24.1-17.1. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.
Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons (-3.0): Predicting 21.7-23.0. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-4.5): Predicting 17.0-25.1. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-5.5): Predicting 22.0-26.8. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (-1.0): Predicting 19.1-23.8. Bet on the Houston Texans.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-15.0): Predicting 18.4-31.5. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+10.0): Predicting 26.4-21.2. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
Detroit Lions at New England Patriots (-7.5): Predicting 18.3-26.0. Bet on the New England Patriots.
Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles (-12.5): Predicting 19.5-29.2. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
St Louis Rams at San Diego Chargers (-4.5): Predicting 17.6-25.0. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-7.0): Predicting 20.9-23.2. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals.
Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos (-8.0): Predicting 22.5-25.3. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.
Washington Redskins at San Francisco 49ers (-10.5): Predicting 18.0-25.2. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+3.0): Predicting 24.4-22.9. Bet on the New York Giants.
Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints (-3.0): Predicting 24.3-23.7. Bet on the Baltimore Ravens.

Each week I’ll show all the predictions, as above, and I’ll pick three games that I feel most confident about, as I look at my model and think about what I’ve seen watching football. Here are the 3 teams I would actually bet on ATS (against the spread):
Bills, Titans, Chargers

Life Tips- Inexpensive Giant Whiteboard

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An 8’x4′ whiteboard can cost hundreds of dollars commercially. That’s no good. We like whiteboards, but not spending money.

Here’s our inexpensive work-around. Buy an 8’x4′ slab of white hardboard panel at Lowe’s or Home Depot. Each board costs about $13. This product is made for cheap showers, mud rooms, laundry rooms, etc., in order to be water-resistant and minimize staining.

We didn’t want a single 8’x4′ whiteboard, preferring 3 large whiteboards: one 3’x4′ and two 2.5’x4′. Lowe’s was happy to cut the board with their saw for us. Their saw is not appropriate if you need super-precise measurements, but it works for something like this.

We hung one whiteboard in the kitchen for Maria to keep a weekly menu and shopping list. We hung one in the living room near the stairs (shown above) for any group brainstorming or Pictionary. And the biggest one went up in the office for me to write math on.

The hardboard seems to approximate an expensive whiteboard pretty well. Most dry erase markers write and erase well. Here is the above picture half-erased:
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We use normal dry erase markers on the boards. We’ll probably put a tray under the boards to hold them at some point.
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I’m sure you could get fancy and put a boarder on the whiteboards. We decided to just screw the boards straight to the wall. Close-up of the screw in the corner:
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You can see that the saw at Lowe’s will leave a bit of a rough edge where the board is cut. It’s not very noticeable in person, though.

The white boards have been up for about a week and are working well. I’ve heard that the hardboard tends to stain over time, so we bought two 8’x4′ panels, cut to the same size, from Lowe’s. So in a year or two, if the boards are stained, we can easily replace them. Alternatively, if we like them so much that we want more, we can hang more whiteboards.

I got this idea from a post at lifehacker.

Book Review- Against Football

Against Football: One Fan’s Reluctant Manifesto
by Steve Almond, 2014

againstfootball

I won’t be letting any kids of mine play football. They’ll probably be skinny like me and won’t want to anyway, but still.

Football is an overly violent form of pseudo-battle that causes permanent brain damage to its players. Players are expected to act tough, take another hit, and fight back, no matter the circumstance. It has a culture of fans willing to sweep aside the faults (sexual assaults, drug use, cheating in school) of their team’s players in order to keep them active for the weekend’s game. And it has a corrupt business model in which the NFL is somehow a non-profit and teams blackmail their cities into funding ridiculously expensive stadiums for billionaire owners.

Those are the arguments. Most of them ring true. Unfortunately, the sport is a lot of fun to watch as a strategist, analyst, and fantasy owner. So what’s a fan to do? I like the suggestions for change at the back of the book. They would improve many situations without ruining the fun of watching football. I don’t think the situation is equivalent to a modern-version of gladiator sports or sacrificial offerings, so some of the book was a bit over the top. Interesting read though.