Monthly Archives: November 2017

NFL Picks – Week 13 of 2017

My model has a tendency to pick underdogs when the spread is high. This wasn’t a good week for that. Ouch.

All of these are as measured by points scored/allowed:
Top 4 offenses to this point: Eagles, Saints, Rams, Patriots
Top 4 defenses to this point: Jaguars, Vikings, Ravens, Chargers/Eagles/Steelers
Worst 4 offenses to this point: Browns, Giants, Dolphins, Bears
Worst 4 defenses to this point: Colts, Browns, Dolphins/Texans

Overall Against the Spread: 76-78
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 8-6
Week 4: 7-9
Week 5: 7-6
Week 6: 8-5
Week 7: 10-4
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 9-4
Week 10: 5-9
Week 11: 4-9
Week 12: 3-12

Rounding the Bases 20171117

Thoughts on one-and-done.

The Bucks are long.

What they started was something of a franchise makeover. That night, Bucks management peered into the future and imagined a team that would be all arms, legs and hops. The Bucks might never attract a superstar in free agency, but they vowed to never be outlengthed and outathleticized again.

Bold choice, Utah Valley.

I don’t want to talk about IU. Or the Bengals. Or the Colts.

Real News 20171115

Deep Learning is eating software.

Do Young Humans + Artificial Intelligence = Cybersecurity?

Mike Gill and I can relate:

“There is a lot of potential in this area, but we are in the very, very early stages of true artificial intelligence and machine learning,” HackerOne’s Rice told me. “Our tools for detection have gotten very, very good at flagging things that might be a problem. All of the existing automation today lags pretty significantly today on assessing if it’s actually a problem. Almost all of them are plagued with false positives that still require a human to go through and assess (if) it’s actually a vulnerability.”

Surge pricing at the national parks. “The best deal in the U.S. remains unchanged: $80 for the annual all-access America the Beautiful pass.”

College professors, stop doing this.

Book Review – Ice Ghosts

Thanks to Maria for the guest book review!

Ice Ghosts: The Epic Hunt for the Lost Franklin Expedition
by Paul Watson, 2017

In May 1845, Sir John Franklin of Great Britain’s Royal Navy set sail with a crew of 128 men to find the last missing link in the Northwest Passage. It was the best outfitted Arctic exploration mission to date, and Franklin was an experienced Arctic explorer. Despite this, the whole expedition was lost. The mystery of what actually happened to the Franklin expedition has captivated a significant amount of people for over 170 years.

The well-written book takes the reader from pre-1845 up to present day, describing the Arctic voyage, the various known crew members (mostly officers), Lady Jane Franklin’s personal funding of rescue operations (and fighting with the Royal Navy) and her grief and denial of losing her husband, and the multitude of efforts throughout the years to try to find the lost ships and any lost artifacts that could help solve the mystery of what actually happened — the best equipped Arctic voyage should have returned with most of its crew, not disappeared into the vast white north.

The evolution of technology, climate change, and a deep dive into various politics — including Canada’s handling of its Inuit population and how much prejudice affected the search for both any survivors and later the ships — play a major role in the book as well, and give it even richer meaning. The mystery of the Franklin expedition is well worth a read, but tying in all the other parts made this book nearly impossible to put down. It was a fascinating look at aspects of Great Britain, Canada, and later the United States and Russia.

I listened to this book as an audio book (10 discs) and it was exceptionally well read.