Loved the first half of the Super Bowl. Still in disbelief about the rest.

The model stunk this year. No other way to say it. Unfortunately. It did much better last year and the year before.

I don’t have a definitive reason yet, or a good postmortem, but my gut says that this was just a weird year. A few teams were great to start the year and then tanked. A few others were terrible to start and then went on a run. Using a model that is just based on the past scores, those sorts of things are going to screw up performance.

Overall Against the Spread: 105-133
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 6-9
Week 5: 5-8 (1 push)
Week 6: 7-6 (2 pushes)
Week 7: 3-11 (1 game not bet)
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 5-6 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 10: 8-6
Week 11: 7-4 (1 game not bet, 2 pushes)
Week 12: 5-10 (1 push)
Week 13: 4-11
Week 14: 8-8
Week 15: 5-9 (1 game not bet, 1 push)
Week 16: 7-9
Week 17: 7-8 (1 push)
Wild Card: 0-4
Division: 2-2
Conference: 2-0
Super Bowl: 0-1