Overall against the spread: 74-61
Wildcard: 3-1
Week 17: 8-8
Week 16: 11-4
Week 15: 7-9
Week 14: 6-9
Week 13: 10-6
Week 12: 8-6
Week 11: 9-5
Week 10: 6-7
Week 9: 6-6
Here are my division round predictions, with the current line in parentheses:
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-7.0): Predicting 20.8-26.1. Bet on the Baltimore Ravens.
Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-11.0): Predicting 15.9-25.3. Bet on the Carolina Panthers.
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-6.5): Predicting 24.4-28.7. Bet on the Dallas Cowboys.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7.0): Predicting 24.2-29.0. Bet on the Indianapolis Colts.
My model says the lines are all too high, which was my intuition when looking at them. It’s only Monday though, maybe they’ll move down by game time. I would bet on the home teams if the lines were -5, -9, -4, and -4.5, respectively.