Overall Against the Spread: 17-15
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-6
NFL Picks – Week 4 of 2018
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Category Archives: Sports
NFL Picks – Week 3 of 2018
Overall Against the Spread: 7-9
Week 2: 7-9
NFL Picks – Week 2 of 2018
Using a model developed with Wayne Winston, I post the NFL bets I would make against the spread each week. My model uses scores from previous weeks to predict the results of the current week of games. Here are my 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017 betting results, where I am a combined 435-423 against the spread, including a terrible 2016-17 campaign that went 105-133 in an unpredictable year.
Now, it is week 2, so I only have one week of results with which to build my model. And it’s based on scores alone. Nonetheless, the model has been profitable when run over the last 30+ years, even in week 2. Given that, here are the predictions for week 2:
Weakest Links 20180613
Sports:
The Rockies Believe They Have an Unbreakable Code. So did the Nazis.
Energy:
PG&E Found at Fault for Starting 3 of Last Year’s California Wildfires. So we should bury power lines. Except maybe not.
The trouble with a lot of green energy economics is that a little bit is great, but each additional unit brings less marginal surplus. One example in batteries. Another estimate in renewable generation.
Don’t Call It a Comeback: Demand Response Rebounds in Latest PJM Capacity Auction.
Book Review – Ballplayer
Ballplayer
by Chipper Jones, with Carroll Rogers Walton
Recap of Chipper Jones’ life and career, which I listened to while exercising. This book is a mix of batting tips, gossip on Chipper’s contemporaries, and apology for personal transgressions. He spends much more time discussing the great Braves teams of the ’90’s than the less-than-great Braves teams of the 2000’s. Certainly not a “must read”, but enjoyable nonetheless.
Weakest Links 20180516
Good description of Mets batting out of order
Chris Welsh has it covered, unlike THom and Jeff on the broadcast.
It’s nice that the Reds maximized their advantage and the umpires called it correctly.
Weakest Links 20180509
Sports:
“Tuesday, he said he got 24 balls total – 17 in batting practice, two tossed from the dugout during batting practice, one from a Brewers player near the bullpen before the game, a warm-up ball from Billy Hamilton and the three home runs.” From The Athletic.
Energy:
Lopsided growth of wind power in the US.
Installation costs so much that it’s better to use expensive solar panels.
Adam Dunn, Legend
Weakest Links 20180502
Sports:
First pitcher in baseball history with at least eight strikeouts in a game during which every out he recorded was a strikeout. With a generous strike zone. The Athletic subscription req’d. More words about Hader.
Energy:
Portugal’s renewable production exceeds total consumption in March. Wow. “Hydroelectricity and wind energy accounted for the lion’s share of renewable energy production, with 55% and 42% respectively.”
Last year, oil and gas companies in North Dakota flared over $220 million worth of natural gas.
First Solar expanding operations in Ohio.