NFL Picks- Week 14 of 2014

Overall: 39-30
Week 13: 10-6
Week 12: 8-6
Week 11: 9-5
Week 10: 6-7
Week 9: 6-6

1-2 in games highlighted last week. 7-8 overall.

Here are my week 14 predictions, with the current line in parentheses:

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears (+3.5): Predicting 24.9-24.1. Bet on the Chicago Bears.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.0): Predicting 21.8-24.8. Line is correct; do not bet.
Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns (+3.5): Predicting 24.8-23.1. Bet on the Cleveland Browns.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-10.5): Predicting 14.9-23.9. Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5): Predicting 23.5-18.8. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-2.5): Predicting 21.3-24.6. Bet on the Miami Dolphins.
New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings (-7.0): Predicting 16.3-23.8. Bet on the Minnesota Vikings.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-11.0): Predicting 21.3-29.2. Bet on the Carolina Panthers.
New York Giants at Tennessee Titans (even): Predicting 23.4-23.9. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
St Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+2.5): Predicting 23.8-23.4. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals (even): Predicting 19.1-20.8. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals.
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos (-10.0): Predicting 21.3-26.6. Bet on the Buffalo Bills.
San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders (+9.5): Predicting 21.7-18.3. Bet on the Oakland Raiders.
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (even): Predicting 23.0-26.2. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5): Predicting 26.0-23.5. Bet on the San Diego Chargers.
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-13.0): Predicting 21.5-31.2. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.

Each week I’ll show all the predictions, as above, and I’ll pick three games that I feel most confident about, as I look at my model and think about what I’ve seen watching football. Here are the 3 teams I would actually bet on ATS (against the spread):
Buccaneers, Cardinals, Bills

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