Bills at Chiefs line is not out yet. Recall that the model does not use injury information, so for the Monday night game between the Ravens and Browns, the model does not know that Flacco and Forsett are out for the season.
Overall Against the Spread: 71-66
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 5-11
Week 4: 10-5
Week 5: 5-6 (2 pushes, 1 not bet due to correct line)
Week 6: 8-6
Week 7: 6-7 (1 not bet due to correct line)
Week 8: 6-6 (2 pushes)
Week 9: 6-7
Week 10: 10-4
Week 11: 6-7 (1 push)
This Week’s Predictions (line in parentheses):
Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions (even): Predicting 23.2-22.3. Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles.
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys (even): Predicting 24.2-20.1. Bet on the Carolina Panthers.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-10.0): Predicting 19.6-26.6. Bet on the Chicago Bears.
Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-1.0): Predicting 19.9-22.9. Bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
St. Louis Rams at Cincinnati Bengals (-10.0): Predicting 15.9-24.6. Bet on the St. Louis Rams.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts (-3.0): Predicting 22.3-25.6. Bet on the Indianapolis Colts.
New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans (-3.0): Predicting 22.4-28.0. Bet on the Houston Texans.
San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.0): Predicting 22.1-26.7. Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (even): Predicting 20.3-26.0. Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-3.5): Predicting 19.4-25.4. Bet on the New York Jets.
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans (+1.0): Predicting 22.1-23.0. Bet on the Tennessee Titans.
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (+1.0): Predicting 24.7-25.5. Bet on the Washington Redskins.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (+11.5): Predicting 28.0-19.7. Bet on the San Francisco 49ers.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks (-4.5): Predicting 19.8-22.4. Bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+3.0): Predicting 23.5-21.5. Bet on the Denver Broncos.
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (-2.5): Predicting 23.5-23.6. Bet on the Baltimore Ravens.